Conf = NESCAC State = ME
Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz GroteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.0834351 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.2) 8-10 309 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 3-16 312 N Springfield NEWMAC (15- 5, 89.6) 11- 9 313 H Westfield State MASCAC (12- 8, 85.5) 14- 9 316 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 5-10 320 A Roger Williams Commonwealth (10- 8, 87.1) 15-14 323 A Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.7) 8- 7 327 H Plymouth State Little East (13- 7, 82.1) 22- 4 330 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.8) 15- 9 402 H Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 88.5) 24-11 405 A MIT NEWMAC (17- 5, 92.6) 6-12 410 A Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 11-14 413 A Williams NESCAC ( 7- 7, 91.7) 10- 6 420 H Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 7-12 424 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 7-17 427 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 5-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Trinity 8-10 -2 -1 -0.32 309 A Middlebury 3-16 -13 -9 0.00 312 N Springfield 11- 9 2 1 0.46 313 H Westfield State 14- 9 5 6 -1.17 316 H Connecticut College 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.10 320 A Roger Williams 15-14 1 3 - -2.36 323 A Amherst 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.23 327 H Plymouth State 22- 4 18 9 0.00 330 H Hamilton 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.15 402 H Bates 24-11 13 3 + 3.86 405 A MIT 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.90 410 A Colby 11-14 -3 -2 -0.22 413 A Williams 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.23 420 H Wesleyan 7-12 -5 -5 0.27 424 H Tufts 7-17 -10 -5 -1.44 427 A Wesleyan 5-14 -9 -6 -0.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Connecticut College 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.10 320 A Roger Williams 15-14 1 3 - -2.36 405 A MIT 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Hamilton 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.15 413 A Williams 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 5.23 323 A Amherst 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.23 402 H Bates 24-11 13 3 + 3.86
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.09 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.69 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6845 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 37 RPI Rating............... .6036 RPI Rank................... 40 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 49 Selection sum ........... 165 Selection Rank ............ 44 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 56 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 88 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.0